World leaders meeting at the United Nations starting on Monday will
be trying to make progress on two intractable problems at the top of the
global agenda - the biggest refugee crisis since World War II and the
Syrian conflict, now in its sixth year, which has claimed over 300 000
lives.
Against a backdrop of rising ethnic and religious tension,
fighting elsewhere in the Mideast and Africa, extremist attacks across
the world and a warming planet, there are plenty of other issues for the
135 heads of state and government and more than 50 ministers expected
to attend to try to tackle.
"It's no secret there's a lot of fear
out there," US Ambassador Samantha Power told reporters on Thursday,
citing the uncertainties sparked by Britain's vote to leave the European
Union, the threat posed by the Islamic State extremist group, and
attacks in many parts of the world by ISIS and other terrorist groups.
But
Syria, where a tense ceasefire brokered by Moscow and Washington went
into effect last Monday, remains at the top of the agenda at the UN
General Assembly's annual ministerial meeting.
An
apparently errant airstrike on Saturday in which the US military may
have unintentionally struck Syrian troops while carrying out a raid
against the Islamic State group could deal a crushing blow to the
US-Russian-brokered ceasefire.
The ceasefire, which does not apply to
attacks on ISIS, has largely held for five days despite dozens of
alleged violations on both sides. The UN Security Council held a closed emergency meeting onSaturday night at Russia's request to discuss the airstrike.
The
acrimonious meeting offered a harbinger of the difficulties ahead as
the US and Russia remain suspicious of each other's intents in Syria.
Power accused Russia of pulling "a stunt" that is "cynical and
hypocritical" in calling for the meeting while not taking similar action
in response to atrocities committed by Syrian President Bashar Assad's
regime.
Russian Ambassador Vitaly Churkin said he had never seen
"such an extraordinary display of American heavy-handedness" as
displayed by Power.
The acrimony over the airstrike could spill
over into a Security Council ministerial meeting on Syria scheduled for
Wednesday. Russia was pushing for a resolution to endorse the cessation
of hostilities and look ahead, but the US refused to make public details
of the ceasefire deal citing "operational security". Churkin earlier
had called the US unco-operative and said most likely "we're not going
to have a resolution".
With the truce still fragile, no sign yet
of humanitarian aid deliveries, and supporters and opponents of the
Syrian government trading accusations, diplomats said there may be a
meeting Tuesday of about 20 key countries on both sides who are part of
the International Syria Support Group to chart the next steps.
The
spotlight during the week is also certain to shine on three leaders,
who are all scheduled to speak at the assembly's opening ministerial
session on Tuesday morning.
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon who
steps down on December 31, and US President Barack Obama who will leave
office in January, will be addressing the 193-member world body for the
last time. And British Prime Minister Theresa May will be making her
debut on the world stage less than three months after the vote to leave
the European Union.
In UN corridors and at private meetings, the
question of Ban's successor will be a hot topic. Portugal's former Prime
Minister Antonio Guterres has topped all four informal polls in the
Security Council but he could be vetoed, possibly by Russia, and there
are constant rumours of new candidates throwing their hats in the ring.
The
US presidential race is already a hot topic at the UN, and no doubt
leaders will be privately discussing the impact of a victory by Hillary
Clinton, and especially Donald Trump, on the United Nations where the
United States is the largest financial contributor and has veto-wielding
power in the Security Council.
In one of the week's highlights,
the secretary general has invited leaders to a first-ever UN Summit on
Refugees and Migrants on Monday.
According to the Office of the UN
High Commissioner for Refugees, an "unprecedented" 65.3 million people
were displaced at the end of 2015, an increase of more than 5 million
from a year earlier and the highest number since WW II. They include
21.3 million refugees, 3.2 million asylum seekers, and 40.8 million
people internally displaced within their own countries.
"''More
countries must resettle more people who have been forced from their
homes," Ban told reporters on Wednesday. "And everyone, everywhere, must
stand up against the animosity that so many refugees, migrants and
minority communities face."
The political declaration set to be
adopted calls for separate Global Compacts for refugees and migrants to
be adopted within two years. But human rights groups complained that it
was watered down, eliminating Ban's proposal to resettle 10% of the
world's refugees annually.
At a follow-up summit on Tuesday called
by Obama, at least 45 countries are expected to make pledges that will
meet or exceed US goals of increasing humanitarian aid by $3bn, doubling
resettlement and lawful admission spots, and increasing access to
education for one million
youngsters and access to employment by one
million, a US official said, speaking on condition of anonymity ahead of
the summit.
"We are not going to solve the refugee crisis on
Tuesday," US envoy Power said, "but I think you'll see an important show
of political will from leaders around the world".
According to the United Nations, 545 meetings have been requested and Ban will take part in 62 events. The
UN chief, who has made climate change a top priority, has organised an
event on Wednesday for countries to deliver their ratifications of the
Paris Declaration to tackle global warming.
He is hoping to get the
required 55 countries representing 55% of greenhouse gas emissions, if
not on Wednesday, then by the end of the year. Nigeria's Foreign
Minister Geoffrey Onyeama, whose government is battling the insurgency
by Boko Haram Islamic extremists, told reporters on Friday that
addressing "this global phenomenon of terrorism" will be high on his
country's agenda along with tackling the UN development goals for 2030
and promoting a new UN body to focus on youth.
The Security
Council is holding a ministerial meeting on Thursday on improving
aviation security, and it could meet again if agreement is reached on a
resolution to support the nuclear test ban treaty which will likely
single out North Korea, the only country to conduct tests in the 21st
century.
The parties to the Iran nuclear deal are also scheduled
to meet on Thursday as well as the Quartet of Mideast mediators - the
US, UN, EU and Russia - who are trying to get Israel and the
Palestinians back to the negotiating table.